Sunday, May 28, 2006

WHAT IS FOREX

The Foreign Exchange, also referred to as the "Forex" or "Spot FX" market, is the largest financial market in the world, with over $1.2 trillion changing hands every single day. If you compare that to the $25 billion a day volume that the New York Stock Exchange trades, you see how giant the Foreign Exchange really is. In fact it is three times larger than all of the US Equity and Treasury markets combined!

What is traded on the Foreign Exchange? The answer is money. Forex trading is where the currency of one nation is traded for that of another. Therefore, Forex trading is always traded in pairs. The most commonly traded currency pairs are traded against the US Dollar (USD). They are called ‘the Majors'. The major currency pairs are the Euro Dollar (EUR/USD); the British Pound
(GBP/USD); the Japanese Yen (USD/JPY); and the Swiss Franc (USD/CHF). The notable ‘commodity’ currency pairs that trade are the Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD) and the Australian Dollar AUD/USD. Because there is not a central exchange for the Forex market, these pairs and their crosses are traded over the telephone and online through a global network of banks, multinational
corporations, importers and exporters, brokers and currency traders.


Traditionally, currency trading has been a 'professionals only' market available exclusively to banks and large institutions, however, because of the rise of the new E-economy, online Forex trading firms are now able to offer trading accounts to 'retail' traders like you and I. Now almost anyone with a computer and an Internet connection can trade currencies just like the world's largest banks do. There are now over 6 million trading accounts worldwide up from 1.7 million in 1997.


BENEFITS OF FOREX TRADING


There are many benefits and advantages to trading Forex. Here are just a few reasons why so many people are choosing this market as a

business opportunity:


1.LEVERAGE: In Forex trading, a small margin deposit can control a much larger total contract value. Leverage gives the trader the ability to make extraordinary profits and at the same time keep risk capital to a minimum. Some Forex firms offer 200 to 1 leverage, which means that a $50 dollar margin deposit would enable a trader to buy or sell $10,000 worth of currencies. Similarly, with $500 dollars, one could trade with $100,000 dollars and so on.


2.LIQUIDITY: Because the Forex Market is so large, it is also extremely liquid. This means that with a click of a mouse you can instantaneously buy and sell at will. You are never 'stuck' in a trade. You can even set the online trading platform to automatically close your position at your desired profit level (limit order), and/or close a trade if a trade is going against you (stop order).


3.PROFIT IN BOTH 'RISING' AND 'FALLING' MARKETS: On the stock markets, you can only make money if shares are rising, but in economic recession and falling 'bear' markets, there is little chance of making big money. Forex is different. One of the most exciting advantages of FX trading is the ability to generate profits whether a currency pair is 'up' or 'down'. A trader can profit by taking a 'long' position, (buying the currency pair at one price and selling it later at a higher price), or a 'short' position, (selling the currency pair and buying it back at a lower price). For example, if you think the US dollar will increase in value vs. the Japanese Yen then you will buy Dollars and sell Yen (go long). If you think the Yen will increase in value against the Dollar then you will sell Dollars and buy yen (go short). As long as the trader picks the right direction, a potential for profit always exists.


4. 24HRS: From Sunday evening to Friday Afternoon EST the Forex market never sleeps. This is very desirable for those who want to trade on a part-time basis, because you can choose when you want to trade--morning, noon or night.


5. FREE 'DEMO' ACCOUNTS, NEWS, CHARTS AND ANALYSIS:
Most Online Forex firms offer free 'Demo' accounts to practice trading, along with breaking Forex news and charting services. These are very valuable resources for traders who would like to hone their trading skills with 'virtual' money before opening a live trading account.


6.'MINI' TRADING: One might think that getting started as a currency trader would cost a lot of money. The fact is, it doesn't. Online Forex Firms now offer 'mini' trading accounts with a minimum account deposit of only $200-$500 with no commission trading. This makes Forex much more accessible to the average individual, without large, start-up capital.


The Day Trade Forex System

Foundations


Before we begin looking at the specifics of the FPS and how it works, let’s look at 4 building blocks that I believe to be foundations to the Forex Profit System.


Foundation #1: Currency Trading is not a Get-Rich- Quick Scheme.


Currency trading is a SKILL that takes TIME to learn. Skilled Traders can and do make money in this field, however like any other occupation or career, success doesn’t just happen overnight. Here is a great ‘formula’ for success:


Practice + Patience + Persistence = Profits


As they say, there is no substitute for hard work and diligence. Practice trading on a demo account and pretend the virtual money is your own real money. Do not open a live trading account until you are profitable trading on a demo account. Stick to the plan and you can be successful.

Foundation #2: I highly recommend that you follow 1 or maybe 2 major currency pairs.


It gets far too complicated to keep tabs on all four. I also recommend that traders choose one of the majors because the spread is the best and they are the most liquid. The Euro/USD is the most commonly traded pair and usually has the best ‘spread’ because of its liquidity. The USD/Swiss Franc is usually the most volatile and moves the most during the trading week. The USD/Yen moves a lot on the news out of Japan and normally the Pound Sterling/USD is more stable in it’s moves than the other three.

Foundation #3: Follow and understand the daily Forex News and Analysis of the professional currency analysts.


Even though this system is based solely on technical analysis of charts, it is important to get a birds-eye view of the currency markets and the news that affects the prices. It is also important that you know and understand what the key technical ‘support’ and ‘resistance’ levels are in the currency pair that you want to trade. Support is a predicted level to buy (where currency pair should move up on the charts), resistance is a predicted level to sell (where the currency pair should move down on the charts).

Fortunately, all the best Forex news and analysis is offered free on the Internet. Here is what you should do first:


*While you are reading the daily news and technical analysis, write down on a piece of paper what direction the analysts are saying about the major currency pair you are following and the key support and resistance levels for the day.


A. Go to www.forexnews.com and you will find 24hr news and analysis on the spot FX markets. The site will give you the big picture of how the economic calendar and central banks affect the currency markets. A great resource.

B. Then go to www.fxstreet.com and click on the ‘Top Forex Reports’. Here there is a wonderful listing of all the major daily currency

analysis and forecasts with support and resistance and direction forecasts.


C. Click on www.currencypro.com and go to ‘Today’s Market Research’ and there you will find more excellent analysis on the Major Currency pairs. Another great Forex Portal.


Foundation #4: Learn how to use the technical indicators in this course and always trade with stop losses!


It is worth your time to be patient and learn how to use the technical indicators on the charts that you will be reading about shortly. It is important when you are trading Forex, to be disciplined and to stick to a plan. Don’t just trade your ‘gut’ feeling. Use the technical indicators outlined and always enter in stop losses on every trade. Remember that everyone who trades has a different tolerance for losses. Depending on your risk capital, and strategy, set your stop losses accordingly.

Sunday, May 21, 2006

The UK GDP came out at 0.8%

So today was an EXCELLENT day. The UK GDP came out at 0.8%, which meant a long on GBP/USD. The move wasn't that big...I expected at least 30 pips move, but the move was only about 16 pips or so. Probably because the pound gained so much yesterday and today, so didn't have a whole lot of fuel left for an upper move, but anyway, I still made money, and I hope you did too. Then we had Canadian CPI coming out at -0.2%, which meant a long on USD/CAD, according to my previous trigger. The USD/CAD went NUTS :) Gaining almost 50 pips on that. It helped that the pair was dropping all day, so was quite a bit oversold, I am sure if the number was positive, we would only get a fraction of the move down. Anyway, I am VERY HAPPY about today, made a bunch of money, I hope you did too...if you got in on time, you should've done well, because neither one of the moves had that quick of a retracement, so plenty of time to exit without any stress...

In addition to that we had the other two big movers this week, which was the UK Retail Sales, and USA CPI, which both hit the triggers, and I hope you made money. I know the TIC went crazy on us this week, and I personally lost some dough on that, but all the other reports, MORE than covered the losses on that one, and left us in a very fat profit for the week.

Anyway, if you have any profits this week, I suggest taking them out, and getting a wire transfer or a check from your broker. And don't be too stingy about paying your broker a withdrawal fee. I suggest start treating your trading like a business, and cut yourself a check on weekly basis, assuming that you are profitable of course. Because remember...profits are a lot easier to lose than your "blood money". If you withdraw profits every week, you reduce the chance of entering stupid gambling trades, because you see your account in the plus. If next week you see your account at break even balance again, after you already withdrew the profits, mentally you'll be a lot more careful and a lot more responsible with your trading. At least I am that way.

I guess wait for my next signal on Sunday night.